Immune signals may predict severe cases of COVID-19

Levels of certain immune system signals called cytokines may correlate to COVID-19 case severity.
Sign up for the Freethink Weekly newsletter!
A collection of our favorite stories straight to your inbox

A patient’s immune system may help predict who is more likely to develop severe cases of COVID-19, according to new research from scientists at Yale.

Their longitudinal study, published in Nature, examined the outcomes of 113 patients of Yale New Haven Hospital, tracking their immune response from admittance to discharge — or death. What they found were relationships between the amounts of immune system protein signals, called cytokines, and which patients had severe cases of COVID-19.

SARS-CoV-2, the morning star-like virus that causes COVID-19, provokes a highly unusual immune response, shutting down each individual cell’s defenses while allowing them to call for backup with impunity.

These unchecked distress calls bring sundry virus-fighting cells running, like Homer clones after a donut. The mass of reinforcements arrive to an immune system shipwreck — viruses and immune cells and cellular debris and inflammatory protein signals — and they freak out, leading to a cytokine storm.

This runaway immune response is thought to be responsible for many severe cases of COVID-19, up to and including death, as the horrible power of the body’s immune system is turned against it. 

The revelation means that coronavirus drugs targeting the inflammatory response of the immune system may be effective treatments for COVID-19 patients.

But this imbalanced response could also potentially predict who will develop severe cases of COVID-19, as Columbia virologist Angela Rasmussen previously told Freethink.

The Yale study puts that to the test. 

Researchers found the same immune system “signature” in all of the patients in the early stages of the disease. 

“We were able to pull out signatures of disease risk,” senior author Akiko Iwasaki, a professor of immunobiology and investigator at Yale’s Howard Hughes Medical Institute, told YaleNews.

One signature was alpha interferon. Alpha interferon is a cytokine that gets called into battle to fight viruses. But weirdly, patients who had higher levels of alpha interferon had more severe cases of COVID-19 than those with less.

The cytokine (an immune system signal) appears to be hurting, not helping.


Akiko Iwasaki

“This virus just doesn’t seem to care about alpha interferon,” Iwasaki said. “The cytokine appears to be hurting, not helping.”

The presence of inflammasome, a group of virus-detecting proteins that cause inflammation, also didn’t bode well: high levels of these cytokines were associated with poor outcomes and, in a few cases, death.

The protein signals were not only portents.

For example, patients who had high levels of growth factors (cytokines that specialize in repairing cells) fared better than those who did not. 

If these findings bear out across a larger patient population, they may help doctors predict who is in danger of suffering severe cases of COVID-19, triaging patients likely to benefit from limited drugs and in need of intensive care. 

They could also serve as helpful clues as to what drugs, impacting which cytokines, may be to best treat the cytokine storm.

We’d love to hear from you! If you have a comment about this article or if you have a tip for a future Freethink story, please email us at [email protected]

Sign up for the Freethink Weekly newsletter!
A collection of our favorite stories straight to your inbox
Related
What’s next for COVID-19 drugs?
Paxlovid may have underperformed in a new trial, but other promising COVID-19 drugs are being authorized or in the works.
New antiviral shortens COVID-19 by 1.5 days
People taking simnotrelvir, a new antiviral treatment for COVID-19, felt almost immediate symptom relief and got better 1.5 days faster.
World’s first “self-amplifying” vaccine approved in Japan
The approval of the first saRNA vaccine could signal a new era in how we prevent and treat everything from infections to cancer.
HIV drug shows promise against COVID-19 and MERS
Based on promising lab tests, the HIV drug cobicistat could be an effective antiviral treatment for COVID-19.
How AI played an instrumental role in making mRNA vaccines
Years before Moderna created an effective mRNA vaccine against COVID, the company put into place AI systems to accelerate the research process.
Up Next
organ chips
Subscribe to Freethink for more great stories